NAIROBI (Reuters) - COVID-19-related restrictions on people's movements and interactions may be linked to a sharp decline in cases of mosquito-borne dengue fever in 2020, offering new insight into how it might be controlled, according to a study.
The study in the Lancet Infectious Diseases estimated that 720,000 fewer cases of dengue than were expected occurred globally in 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic began.
The study's results are surprising, senior author Oliver Brady said, because they show a significant drop in dengue cases when people could not freely leave their homes to visit other places, such as schools.
Dengue is not transmitted human to human, but only by the Aedes mosquito, which bites during the day. However, scientists had previously thought that most transmission happened in and around homes, rather than elsewhere.
"It was a strange trend that we didn't expect - a surprising result that opens the doors to thinking about conducting more detailed trials of interventions," said Brady, associate professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
New approaches to controlling the disease, including insecticide spraying in classrooms and contact tracing to understand where infected people have recently visited, could now be tested, Brady suggested.
Dengue is a viral infection that causes fever and other flu-like symptoms, though severe cases may involve internal bleeding and be life-threatening.
The study examined data from 23 countries in Latin America and Southeast Asia where dengue is endemic.
The World Health Organisation says the global incidence of dengue is growing dramatically and estimates around half of the world's population is at risk of contracting dengue. While an estimated 100 to 400 million infections occur each year, more than 80% are mild and asymptomatic.
Philip McCall, a professor at Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine who was not involved in the study, said the findings were important and required further investigation, "because dengue is the disease of the 21st century" as it spreads further north as a result of climate change.
The study's authors acknowledged some of the limitations of the study, including that the pandemic may have disrupted reporting of dengue cases, and noted that cases did rise in some locations.
"Measures related to the closure of schools and reduced time spent in non-residential areas had the strongest evidence of association with reduced dengue risk, but high collinearity between covariates made specific attribution challenging," they note in the report.
SOURCE: https://bit.ly/3tpZijs The Lancet Infectious Diseases, online March 2, 2022.
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